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In the past 100 years, no one from modern financial economics have conducted any extensive study of price movements at all. It was assumed to be random until recently. For some reason, if you say anything suggesting that price movement isn’t random, you would be damned from your academic peers. It is like Galileo suggested that the Earth rotates around sunlight. It was a crime. Maybe it will be the nature of human – those who’ve something to get rid of would do anything to stop others rocking their boat.
Now, what is a bond bubble and explanations do you have I view 2011 with trepidation? Second, what would be the best funds to acquire to avoid unnecessary losses if the bubble breaks? A bubble is basically highly inflated prices, whilst in the debt market that’s what we’ve got. When prices go up, yields (interest income divided by price) proceed down. The trend since 1981: higher prices and lower yields. In simple terms, this means less income for those that own bond funds and better risk. Because when mortgage levels go up bond prices (values) will fall since. going up when he basically did from 1981 through 2011.
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